Ngành dệt may Việt Nam năm nay đã phải đối mặt với nhiều khó khăn, áp lực chi phí nguyên liệu lạm phát, giá cước vận chuyển tăng và tình trạng thiếu lao động.
Tại Việt Nam, kim ngạch xuất khẩu hàng dệt may ước tính đạt 39 tỷ USD (+11,2% so với cùng kỳ và +0,3% so với năm 2019), đây là kết quả đáng kể mặc dù có sự gián đoạn kéo dài do chính sách giãn cách xã hội trong quý 3/2021.
Sang năm 2022, theo đánh giá của McKinsey (công ty trong lĩnh vực tư vấn quản lý và chiến lược kinh doanh) đề xuất doanh thu thời trang toàn cầu nên đạt 103% -108% mức năm 2019. Tuy nhiên, doanh thu tổng thể dự kiến sẽ phục hồi hoàn toàn vào năm tới, với động lực tăng trưởng có thể từ Mỹ và Trung Quốc – khi châu Âu chững lại. Thời trang giá rẻ và cao cấp sẽ tiếp tục tăng trưởng tốt hơn, vì sự phục hồi dự kiến sẽ không đồng đều giữa các phân khúc giá trị trong khi thị trường trung cấp siết chặt lại.
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VITAS dự báo kim ngạch xuất khẩu năm 2022 đạt 43 tỷ USD (+10% so với cùng kỳ) theo kịch bản khả quan của SSI Research và giả định dịch bệnh bắt đầu giảm dần trong quý 1/2022 và đạt 41 tỷ USD (+5% so với cùng kỳ) theo kịch bản cơ sở của chúng tôi, dịch bệnh sẽ bắt dầu giảm dần trong quý 2/2022.
Ngành sợi bông, sau khi tăng trưởng nhanh trong năm 2021, sẽ dần tìm được điểm cân bằng trong năm 2022. Giá bông đầu vào sẽ tiếp tục tăng mạnh trong 2 quý tới, nhưng khả năng cao sẽ điều chỉnh vào nửa cuối năm 2022.
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