(ĐTCK) Linh hoạt thích ứng với khó khăn của đại dịch Covid-19, ngành dệt may đang đứng trước cơ hội “nóng lại” nhờ sức cầu hồi phục mạnh trên thị trường thế giới.
1. Xuất khẩu dệt may Việt Nam phục hồi ấn tượng
Dệt may là một trong những ngành sản xuất chủ lực của nền kinh tế, chiếm từ 12 – 16% tổng kim ngạch xuất khẩu cả nước. Năm 2021, Hiệp hội Dệt may Việt Nam (Vitas) ước tính, tổng kim ngạch xuất khẩu toàn ngành đạt 39 tỷ USD, tăng 11,2% so với năm 2020 và tăng 0,3% so với năm 2019.
Riêng trong tháng 11, Tổng cục Hải quan công bố kim ngạch xuất khẩu hàng dệt may đạt 3,04 tỷ USD, tăng 15,2%, tương ứng tăng 401 triệu USD so với tháng trước.
Việt Nam đã thay đổi chính sách phòng chống dịch bệnh Covid-19 từ “Zero Covid” sang “sống chung với Covid” – vừa thích ứng an toàn, linh hoạt, kiểm soát hiệu quả dịch Covid-19 vừa phục hồi, phát triển kinh tế. Các doanh nghiệp cũng nhanh chóng cho thấy khả năng phục hồi ấn tượng ngay sau khi bắt nhịp với trạng thái “bình thường mới”.
Công ty cổ phần Đầu tư và Thương mại TNG (mã TNG) cho biết, doanh thu thuần trong tháng 11/2021 đạt 434 tỷ đồng, tăng 37% so với cùng kỳ 2020. Khấu trừ các chi phí và thuế, Công ty ghi nhận lãi sau thuế đạt 20,7 tỷ đồng, tăng mạnh so với khoản lãi 7,9 tỷ đồng cùng kỳ năm ngoái. Biên lãi gộp cũng được cải thiện từ 13% lên 16%.
Tính chung 11 tháng đầu năm, doanh thu của TNG đạt gần 5.000 tỷ đồng và lãi sau thuế đạt gần 214 tỷ đồng, lần lượt tăng 18% và 38% so với cùng kỳ năm 2020. So với kế hoạch kinh doanh với doanh thu đạt 4.798 tỷ đồng và lợi nhuận sau thuế đạt 175 tỷ đồng, Công ty đã vượt lần lượt 4,2% và 22,3% kế hoạch năm.
Trong khi đó, Công ty cổ phần Dệt may Đầu tư Thương mại Thành Công (mã TCM) tổng kết tình hình kinh doanh tháng 11/2021 với doanh thu đạt xấp xỉ 12,8 triệu USD (tương đương 294,4 tỷ đồng), tăng nhẹ so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái và tăng hơn 10% so với tháng trước đó. Kết quả, Công ty báo lãi ròng đạt 143.096 USD, tương ứng 3,3 tỷ đồng.
Lũy kế 11 tháng đầu năm nay, TCM đạt doanh thu xấp xỉ 136,9 triệu USD và lãi ròng 5,1 triệu USD; tương ứng hoàn thành lần lượt 77% và 41% kế hoạch năm. Công ty cho biết thêm, hiện các đơn hàng đã được nhận đến quý II/2022 và đang chuẩn bị nhận đơn hàng cho quý III/2022.
Tại Tổng công ty May 10 (mã M10), ông Thân Đức Việt, Tổng giám đốc cho hay, trong quý IV/2021, May 10 đã tăng cường công suất để bù đắp những đơn hàng bị lùi thời hạn giao hàng trong quý III và đơn hàng tăng trưởng trong thời điểm cuối năm.
“Đến hết năm 2021, May 10 sẽ đạt doanh số trên 3.400 tỷ đồng, vượt so với năm 2019 – giai đoạn chưa có dịch Covid-19. Nếu chỉ tính riêng doanh thu may mặc, do có doanh thu từ sản xuất khẩu trang nên chỉ trong năm 2021, chúng tôi đã tăng trưởng 17% so với cùng kỳ năm 2020”, ông Việt thông tin thêm.
Ông Vũ Đức Giang, Chủ tịch Hiệp hội Dệt may Việt Nam (Vitas) đánh giá, những kết quả đạt được đã khẳng định nỗ lực vượt qua khó khăn, thách thức, nhanh chóng thích nghi của doanh nghiệp ngành dệt may với tình hình mới, kịp thời chuyển đổi cơ cấu mặt hàng, đảm bảo việc làm, thu thập ổn định cho hàng triệu người lao động.
2. Triển vọng sáng của dệt may Việt Nam trong năm 2022
Năm 2022, Quỹ Tiền tệ Quốc tế (IMF) và Ngân hàng Thế giới (World Bank) dự báo tăng trưởng GDP toàn cầu sẽ đạt 4,9%. Riêng nhu cầu với sản phẩm dệt may thế giới sẽ quay trở lại bằng mức của năm 2019, đạt khoảng 740 tỷ USD.
Đánh giá về triển vọng ngành dệt may năm 2022, nhóm nghiên cứu của Công ty Chứng khoán Vietcombank (VCBS) cho rằng, các hiệp định thương mại tự do như EVFTA, CPTPP sẽ tiếp tục hỗ trợ tích cực cho hoạt động xuất khẩu dệt may Việt Nam. Bên cạnh đó, thị phần dệt may của Việt Nam tại Mỹ, EU vẫn mở rộng.
Chỉ số tiêu dùng ngày càng tăng sẽ mang lại cơ hội lớn cho ngành dệt may, nhất là khi độ phủ vắc xin ngừa Covid-19 tại các thị trường chủ lực như Mỹ và EU ngày càng cao.
Đặc biệt, Covid-19 làm thay đổi một số xu hướng của ngành, trong đó có xu hướng dịch chuyển nguồn cung ứng dệt may thế giới ra khỏi Trung Quốc và Việt Nam là một trong những điểm đến của các nhà nhập khẩu.
Căn cứ vào tình hình thực tế, Vitas đã đưa ra ba kịch bản tăng trưởng trong năm 2022. Kịch bản 1, nếu tình hình dịch bệnh được kiểm soát cơ bản vào quý I/2022, kim ngạch xuất khẩu toàn ngành sẽ đạt 42,5 – 43,5 tỷ USD.
Kịch bản 2, nếu tình hình dịch bệnh được kiểm soát vào quý II/2022, kim ngạch xuất khẩu đạt mức trung bình 40 – 41 tỷ USD. Kịch bản 3, nếu dịch bệnh còn diễn biến phức tạp và kéo dài đến cuối năm 2022, kim ngạch xuất khẩu đạt mức thấp nhất 38 – 39 tỷ USD.
Dẫu vậy, cũng có một số bài toán mà các doanh nghiệp trong ngành cần giải để tận dụng được cơ hội từ sự phục hồi về nhu cầu tiêu thụ sản phẩm dệt may trên thị trường thế giới cũng như xu hướng chuyển dịch trên thị trường dệt may. Đó là việc phụ thuộc vào nguồn nguyên liệu nhập khẩu và bài toán thiếu lao động.
Theo ông Thân Đức Việt, khoảng 60% nguyên phụ liệu ngành dệt may là nhập khẩu, chủ yếu là từ thị trường Trung Quốc. Sự phụ thuộc nguyên vật liệu nhập khẩu duy trì ở mức cao đã khiến không ít doanh nghiệp dệt may từng “ngồi trên đống lửa” do các đối tác chậm trễ trong công tác giao hàng. Nhất là trong đợt dịch cao điểm, toàn ngành đã bị ảnh hưởng từ 20 – 30% năng lực sản xuất.
Về thị trường lao động, Trung tâm Nghiên cứu và quan hệ lao động đã làm một cuộc khảo sát ngành dệt may trong đợt dịch Covid-19 vừa qua.
Kết quả, với những doanh nghiệp có trả lương và hỗ trợ người lao động trong giãn cách đã phục hồi trên 80% sau hơn 1 tháng; còn với doanh nghiệp gặp khó khăn hoặc không hỗ trợ thì tỷ lệ người lao động ngừng việc lên tới 25 – 50%.
Ngoài ra, sản xuất trong tình hình dịch bệnh vẫn tiềm ẩn nhiều rủi ro, Công ty Chứng khoán Mirae Asset Việt Nam đã lưu ý chi phí hoạt động liên quan đến Covid-19 như xét nghiệm, tái bố trí sản xuất, chi phí sản xuất tăng do áp lực lạm phát có nguy cơ bào mòn biên lợi nhuận của các doanh nghiệp ngành này.
Chính vì thế, Tập đoàn Dệt may Việt Nam đã đưa ra ba kịch bản tăng trưởng của ngành dệt may trong năm 2022 tương đối thận trọng.
Kịch bản cao là từ quý IV/2021 đến quý I/2022, có trên 80% lao động quay trở lại nhà máy sản xuất, kim ngạch xuất khẩu có thể đạt mức 40 tỷ USD (tương đương mức trung bình của Vitas). Trong khi với kịch bản thấp là trong quý I/2022, chỉ huy động được dưới 60% lao động và mỗi quý tiếp theo tăng thêm 10%, kim ngạch xuất khẩu chỉ đạt 36 tỷ USD.
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Secondly, you must make the other party pay attention, so that you can send a large army.Damn, even the soldiers were bribed, they want me to freeze to death This is a very small camp, with about twenty tents, surrounded by horse drawn carriages.
Demonic disaster It is also a huge problem for the Storm Territory.The front row of our side is composed of 822 units of combat dwarves and 21 units of deadwood warriors.
If the currency of the auction is converted into gold coins, hundreds of millions or more may be auctioned casually.The power of instant spells is far from enough to destroy hundreds of vine dragons.
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You can choose your rewards from the treasure house The other party s voice rang out in the light.The other party was best at air spells. From this aspect, it could be said to be the ceiling level of the hero world.
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Nangong Boyu seemed to have noticed it too he immediately realized something and actually smiled and blinked at Xun Qi, seeming quite proud.My master already made it three thousand years ago.
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For such a person to fight three people in a row, it is already an offer that is difficult for the other party to refuse why do we have to fight one against four Tianshi Zhuoping s expression remained unchanged and said The matter has passed, and there is no need to mention it again.And he has another back up plan. He also has a well hidden great medicine that can break through the Ding Yuan realm.
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Traces of battle can be seen everywhere, destroying this forest.He stood up from the gravel ground and looked at the sand pit with only a few corpses
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There was nothing we could do. Puff, puff The sound of flesh being pierced continued to sound.Boom Suddenly, a few hundred meters ahead, a violent explosion sounded suddenly.
It s not our own army anyway, so we won t be heartbroken if we die.You can know who the opponent is from the name of the equipment.
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If it is in a wide area, the possible loser will be them.Although I don t understand why they are only allowed to attack, as long as Zhao Hao gives the order, no matter whether there is a mountain of knives or a sea of fire ahead, they will not look back.
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Hound clearing the way, they naturally arrived at the Tomb of Wraiths smoothly.
This is also the reason why the opponent must be responsible for the final kill even though they can easily deal with the elf mission.Just because he thinks this rule is okay, it doesn t mean that others think so too.
In terms of speed, even if the Phantom Marksman is not as good as the Shadow Swordsman, it is still faster than the general long range arms, resulting in pitiful losses, even less than double digits.After all, he knew very well how deep the water was for this kind of god given equipment.
Yes, sir 4 The voices of several golden dragons were ignored by Zhao Hao.Now, he can only struggle with brute force, but this is definitely the one that Zhao Hao is least afraid of.
At the same time, the neck is extremely thick, and the strength required to cut it is extremely strong.
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Although the Nascent Soul stage and the Golden Core stage are two completely different realms, with a big gap in strength, if the number of Golden Core monks reaches a certain level, they will still have some ability to protect themselves when facing the Nascent Soul stage.Moreover, there are only a few days until the end of the month.
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Half a month ago, four men in blood suddenly came to Duanmu Villa.It should be the result of the deliberate control of the One horned Ghost King.
Since the Long Eyebrow Ghost King doesn t like to take care of those mundane things, then this No.Now he has disappeared from this world. I https://tannoorgrill.com/tips/en-5-authoritative-steps-for-managing-menopause-and-weight-loss-over-t4p-thanksgiving-ekes/
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slipped into the Soul Gathering Flag in a flash. The One Horned Ghost King had been on guard against self destruction before, so he specifically used the Five Ghost Prison Dragon Formation when dealing with the Fuliu Ghost King.In other words, this ancient continent once had high level monks.