(ĐTCK) Linh hoạt thích ứng với khó khăn của đại dịch Covid-19, ngành dệt may đang đứng trước cơ hội “nóng lại” nhờ sức cầu hồi phục mạnh trên thị trường thế giới.
1. Xuất khẩu dệt may Việt Nam phục hồi ấn tượng
Dệt may là một trong những ngành sản xuất chủ lực của nền kinh tế, chiếm từ 12 – 16% tổng kim ngạch xuất khẩu cả nước. Năm 2021, Hiệp hội Dệt may Việt Nam (Vitas) ước tính, tổng kim ngạch xuất khẩu toàn ngành đạt 39 tỷ USD, tăng 11,2% so với năm 2020 và tăng 0,3% so với năm 2019.
Riêng trong tháng 11, Tổng cục Hải quan công bố kim ngạch xuất khẩu hàng dệt may đạt 3,04 tỷ USD, tăng 15,2%, tương ứng tăng 401 triệu USD so với tháng trước.
Việt Nam đã thay đổi chính sách phòng chống dịch bệnh Covid-19 từ “Zero Covid” sang “sống chung với Covid” – vừa thích ứng an toàn, linh hoạt, kiểm soát hiệu quả dịch Covid-19 vừa phục hồi, phát triển kinh tế. Các doanh nghiệp cũng nhanh chóng cho thấy khả năng phục hồi ấn tượng ngay sau khi bắt nhịp với trạng thái “bình thường mới”.
Công ty cổ phần Đầu tư và Thương mại TNG (mã TNG) cho biết, doanh thu thuần trong tháng 11/2021 đạt 434 tỷ đồng, tăng 37% so với cùng kỳ 2020. Khấu trừ các chi phí và thuế, Công ty ghi nhận lãi sau thuế đạt 20,7 tỷ đồng, tăng mạnh so với khoản lãi 7,9 tỷ đồng cùng kỳ năm ngoái. Biên lãi gộp cũng được cải thiện từ 13% lên 16%.
Tính chung 11 tháng đầu năm, doanh thu của TNG đạt gần 5.000 tỷ đồng và lãi sau thuế đạt gần 214 tỷ đồng, lần lượt tăng 18% và 38% so với cùng kỳ năm 2020. So với kế hoạch kinh doanh với doanh thu đạt 4.798 tỷ đồng và lợi nhuận sau thuế đạt 175 tỷ đồng, Công ty đã vượt lần lượt 4,2% và 22,3% kế hoạch năm.
Trong khi đó, Công ty cổ phần Dệt may Đầu tư Thương mại Thành Công (mã TCM) tổng kết tình hình kinh doanh tháng 11/2021 với doanh thu đạt xấp xỉ 12,8 triệu USD (tương đương 294,4 tỷ đồng), tăng nhẹ so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái và tăng hơn 10% so với tháng trước đó. Kết quả, Công ty báo lãi ròng đạt 143.096 USD, tương ứng 3,3 tỷ đồng.
Lũy kế 11 tháng đầu năm nay, TCM đạt doanh thu xấp xỉ 136,9 triệu USD và lãi ròng 5,1 triệu USD; tương ứng hoàn thành lần lượt 77% và 41% kế hoạch năm. Công ty cho biết thêm, hiện các đơn hàng đã được nhận đến quý II/2022 và đang chuẩn bị nhận đơn hàng cho quý III/2022.
Tại Tổng công ty May 10 (mã M10), ông Thân Đức Việt, Tổng giám đốc cho hay, trong quý IV/2021, May 10 đã tăng cường công suất để bù đắp những đơn hàng bị lùi thời hạn giao hàng trong quý III và đơn hàng tăng trưởng trong thời điểm cuối năm.
“Đến hết năm 2021, May 10 sẽ đạt doanh số trên 3.400 tỷ đồng, vượt so với năm 2019 – giai đoạn chưa có dịch Covid-19. Nếu chỉ tính riêng doanh thu may mặc, do có doanh thu từ sản xuất khẩu trang nên chỉ trong năm 2021, chúng tôi đã tăng trưởng 17% so với cùng kỳ năm 2020”, ông Việt thông tin thêm.
Ông Vũ Đức Giang, Chủ tịch Hiệp hội Dệt may Việt Nam (Vitas) đánh giá, những kết quả đạt được đã khẳng định nỗ lực vượt qua khó khăn, thách thức, nhanh chóng thích nghi của doanh nghiệp ngành dệt may với tình hình mới, kịp thời chuyển đổi cơ cấu mặt hàng, đảm bảo việc làm, thu thập ổn định cho hàng triệu người lao động.
2. Triển vọng sáng của dệt may Việt Nam trong năm 2022
Năm 2022, Quỹ Tiền tệ Quốc tế (IMF) và Ngân hàng Thế giới (World Bank) dự báo tăng trưởng GDP toàn cầu sẽ đạt 4,9%. Riêng nhu cầu với sản phẩm dệt may thế giới sẽ quay trở lại bằng mức của năm 2019, đạt khoảng 740 tỷ USD.
Đánh giá về triển vọng ngành dệt may năm 2022, nhóm nghiên cứu của Công ty Chứng khoán Vietcombank (VCBS) cho rằng, các hiệp định thương mại tự do như EVFTA, CPTPP sẽ tiếp tục hỗ trợ tích cực cho hoạt động xuất khẩu dệt may Việt Nam. Bên cạnh đó, thị phần dệt may của Việt Nam tại Mỹ, EU vẫn mở rộng.
Chỉ số tiêu dùng ngày càng tăng sẽ mang lại cơ hội lớn cho ngành dệt may, nhất là khi độ phủ vắc xin ngừa Covid-19 tại các thị trường chủ lực như Mỹ và EU ngày càng cao.
Đặc biệt, Covid-19 làm thay đổi một số xu hướng của ngành, trong đó có xu hướng dịch chuyển nguồn cung ứng dệt may thế giới ra khỏi Trung Quốc và Việt Nam là một trong những điểm đến của các nhà nhập khẩu.
Căn cứ vào tình hình thực tế, Vitas đã đưa ra ba kịch bản tăng trưởng trong năm 2022. Kịch bản 1, nếu tình hình dịch bệnh được kiểm soát cơ bản vào quý I/2022, kim ngạch xuất khẩu toàn ngành sẽ đạt 42,5 – 43,5 tỷ USD.
Kịch bản 2, nếu tình hình dịch bệnh được kiểm soát vào quý II/2022, kim ngạch xuất khẩu đạt mức trung bình 40 – 41 tỷ USD. Kịch bản 3, nếu dịch bệnh còn diễn biến phức tạp và kéo dài đến cuối năm 2022, kim ngạch xuất khẩu đạt mức thấp nhất 38 – 39 tỷ USD.
Dẫu vậy, cũng có một số bài toán mà các doanh nghiệp trong ngành cần giải để tận dụng được cơ hội từ sự phục hồi về nhu cầu tiêu thụ sản phẩm dệt may trên thị trường thế giới cũng như xu hướng chuyển dịch trên thị trường dệt may. Đó là việc phụ thuộc vào nguồn nguyên liệu nhập khẩu và bài toán thiếu lao động.
Theo ông Thân Đức Việt, khoảng 60% nguyên phụ liệu ngành dệt may là nhập khẩu, chủ yếu là từ thị trường Trung Quốc. Sự phụ thuộc nguyên vật liệu nhập khẩu duy trì ở mức cao đã khiến không ít doanh nghiệp dệt may từng “ngồi trên đống lửa” do các đối tác chậm trễ trong công tác giao hàng. Nhất là trong đợt dịch cao điểm, toàn ngành đã bị ảnh hưởng từ 20 – 30% năng lực sản xuất.
Về thị trường lao động, Trung tâm Nghiên cứu và quan hệ lao động đã làm một cuộc khảo sát ngành dệt may trong đợt dịch Covid-19 vừa qua.
Kết quả, với những doanh nghiệp có trả lương và hỗ trợ người lao động trong giãn cách đã phục hồi trên 80% sau hơn 1 tháng; còn với doanh nghiệp gặp khó khăn hoặc không hỗ trợ thì tỷ lệ người lao động ngừng việc lên tới 25 – 50%.
Ngoài ra, sản xuất trong tình hình dịch bệnh vẫn tiềm ẩn nhiều rủi ro, Công ty Chứng khoán Mirae Asset Việt Nam đã lưu ý chi phí hoạt động liên quan đến Covid-19 như xét nghiệm, tái bố trí sản xuất, chi phí sản xuất tăng do áp lực lạm phát có nguy cơ bào mòn biên lợi nhuận của các doanh nghiệp ngành này.
Chính vì thế, Tập đoàn Dệt may Việt Nam đã đưa ra ba kịch bản tăng trưởng của ngành dệt may trong năm 2022 tương đối thận trọng.
Kịch bản cao là từ quý IV/2021 đến quý I/2022, có trên 80% lao động quay trở lại nhà máy sản xuất, kim ngạch xuất khẩu có thể đạt mức 40 tỷ USD (tương đương mức trung bình của Vitas). Trong khi với kịch bản thấp là trong quý I/2022, chỉ huy động được dưới 60% lao động và mỗi quý tiếp theo tăng thêm 10%, kim ngạch xuất khẩu chỉ đạt 36 tỷ USD.
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Su Ni said They said they already knew about your work in the game, and they told you to work hard, earn more money, and after graduation, you can directly marry a wife and have children.People who can have this level of ability are all stomping With the existence of the universe shock and three shocks, you don t have to worry about it, they don t regard you as an opponent at all.
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This is the main artifact Only 25000 points In the Points Store, the price of a super artifact is more than 40,000 points, and the main artifact is only 25,000 points.After a rough count in 5 minutes, the number of people who will go out will reach about 450,000, which is definitely the top level in today s Gods Continent These 450,000 people are being quickly mobilized and sent to Thunder City in the Western Continent.
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Song Shiyin was a little puzzled, why do these monks look so lifeless And, are they here, or in the cave before As soon as her idea was born, she got an answer the next moment.It s all Aniel s fault It s because of him that I became what I am today Why are you stopping me Why are you protecting him the conjoined twins roared.
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Zhuo Guang took out all the magic weapons in his storage bag, most of which were the defensive magic weapons and attack magic weapons.Why does Xiangxuyu have demon energy Lin Yanxi asked again, she was very surprised.
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The crisis is not over. Perhaps it was because of the rest of their life after the catastrophe that they ignored some abnormalities and did not respond in time.Lin Yanxi behind him took out his long sword, took a few steps forward, and swung it fiercely at the rope.
It s so hot Bian Tingyu put the teacup heavily on the table, sticking out her tongue.Lao Jin snatched Ping An back quickly, and he pushed Ping An to Mu Mu, letting Mu Mu go first with Ping An.
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The fighter plane fell suddenly, and the armored steel fist directly killed it with a thunderbolt leg.The sword swung suddenly, and the lightning in his left hand popped out.
Any one of them has the strength of the finals. What they are facing is a behemoth.You still can t stop it again. Tactics are also part of the battle.
Of course, Makoto Kukai didn t respond, he didn t know why everyone was nervous.The opponent is, Vulcan team from ro. Vulcan Academy cheered, the remaining Hai Long, In Wailing, and Tianjing, as long as it is not Hailong, they are all signed, and defeating Tianjing Jiwu is also the best time to avenge Romero.
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Hinder public appearance. Teacher Ma liked this session so much, so he walked very slowly, enjoying the cheers from 200,000 people as much as possible, but the voice was a bit quieter, which was a fly in the ointment.
In fact, it is just the opposite. I, a disciple of Confucianism, admire worldliness and practice cultivation.At that moment, Lu Zhengchun was a little confused. Why is the death of a human being worse than the death of a dog What s more, that man s surname was Lu.
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Why am I, Zhengyang Mountain , after every ancestor achieves the status of Sword Immortal, he never wants to hold a celebration and tell the world In fact, the little girl has long been familiar with these old events, and her ears are full of cocoons.Fortunately, when he reached the other end of the stone bridge, Chen Ping an was safe and sound. The young man suddenly smiled brightly. Bianpidian went to find Master Ruan and Ruan Xiu.
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what kind of goose is it Can your goose talk Chen Pingan finally caught seven or eight slate fish, and the bamboo basket was shaken by them.The little girl walked to the gate and jumped around in the yard. She didn t leave the yard without authorization and make things difficult for her servants.
But Zhu He felt that his improvised ceremony to invite gods this time was probably a mistake. But when Zhu He followed a loud sound and looked towards the ridge, the trees collapsed one after another.No matter how carefree he is, he will never dare to interact with him in a small town in full view of the public.
When she opened her eyes and saw Chen Pingan, she stopped crying and hurried to In front of him, he hugged Chen Pingan tightly and choked with sobs Uncle, I m sorry Chen Ping an could only pat the little girl s head Weight loss with Healthy Cabbage Soup [pg8wnj]
gently, Don t cry, don t cry.Ma Kuxuan s originally bent and curled feet instantly stretched out. Come, step hard on the chest of Chen Ping an who was leaning back.
not famous for its vast territory, its territory is only a thousand miles in radius. Song Changjing did not turn his head, but raised his finger and pointed at the gate behind him, After passing that gate, go straight down the 🤯MI EXPERIENCIA CON CETONAS EXOGENAS EN KETO | QUE SON LAS CETONAS EXOGENAS? | Manu Echeverri [0wr3rs]
ladder, about thirty miles away.She tilted her head and glanced at the creek puddle, full of expectation. Chen Ping an understood and apologized I want to make soup for the fish I caught next to replenish my friend s health, so I can t give it to you.
We agreed to three taels, but how come the money is missing The young Taoist poured the beans into the bamboo tube.Countless pieces of broken porcelain came out. In the end, it was so full that even a basket could not fit in it, and it was all suspended above the pool under the patio.
Although the child could not retain any big opportunities, it was both a bad thing and a good thing at the same time.
