Dệt may Việt Nam vươn tới bền vững hoặc bị loại khỏi “cuộc chơi”
Giai đoạn 2021-2023 sẽ quyết định cho sự phục hồi của doanh nghiệp dệt may, đổi mới năng lực cạnh tranh, vươn tới vị thế bền vững hoặc có thể bị loại dần khỏi cuộc chơi.
Doanh nghiệp ngành dệt may trải qua năm 2021 đầy thách thức, khó khăn do chịu ảnh hưởng tiêu cực trực diện từ dịch bệnh COVID-19. Giới chuyên gia dự báo giai đoạn 2021-2023 sẽ quyết định cho sự phục hồi của doanh nghiệp dệt may, đổi mới năng lực cạnh tranh, vươn tới vị thế bền vững hoặc có thể bị loại dần khỏi cuộc chơi.
1. Doanh nghiệp dệt may Việt Nam gặp khó vì đại dịch
Theo số liệu từ Hiệp hội Dệt may Việt Nam (VITAS), từ đầu quý III đến nay là thời gian khó khăn cho các doanh nghiệp dệt may. Dịch COVID-19 diễn biến phức tạp và kéo dài tại TP. Hồ Chí Minh và các tỉnh phía Nam khiến doanh nghiệp đối mặt với hàng loạt thách thức như phải đóng cửa, ngừng sản xuất hoặc sản xuất cầm chừng, không thực hiện được đơn hàng, giao hàng chậm, phải giao hàng bằng máy bay hoặc bị hủy đơn hàng gây đứt gãy chuỗi cung ứng.
Các doanh nghiệp ở phía Nam tổ chức sản xuất “3 tại chỗ”, “1 cung đường – 2 điểm đến” hoặc phương án sản xuất “4 xanh” nhưng cũng chỉ duy trì được khoảng 10 – 30% số lao động đi làm, chi phí phát sinh lớn.
Điều này gây ra những tổn thất về kinh tế và uy tín đối với khách hàng. Thực tế, xuất khẩu hàng dệt may tháng 8 giảm 15,9% so với tháng 7/2021 và giảm 2,63% so với tháng 8/2020. Tháng 9, xuất khẩu hàng dệt may cũng chỉ đạt 3 tỷ USD, tiếp tục giảm 9,2% so với tháng 8/2021 và giảm 10,5% so với tháng 9/2020.
Theo Bộ Công Thương năm 2021, xuất khẩu dệt may Việt Nam đặt mục tiêu tăng trưởng 10% so với cùng kỳ, đạt từ 39 – 39,5 tỷ USD. Tuy nhiên, mực tiêu này gặp phải những thách thức lớn do tình hình dịch COVID-19, nhu cầu tiêu dùng các mặt hàng không phải thiết yếu như quần áo đang chững lại, người tiêu dùng thắt chặt chi tiêu… Thực tế theo VITAS, tổng kim ngạch xuất khẩu hàng dệt may của Việt Nam 9 tháng năm 2021 mới đạt 29 tỷ USD.
Công ty TNHH Chứng khoán Ngân hàng TMCP Ngoại Thương Việt Nam (VCBS) nhận định, dịch bệnh kéo dài có thể khiến thị phần các doanh nghiệp Việt Nam suy giảm. Ngành dệt may cần nhiều nhân công để sản xuất, do đó bị ảnh hưởng trực tiếp nếu có lao động mắc COVID-19.
VCBS cho rằng, diễn biến dịch bệnh phức tạp từ đầu tháng 5/2021 khiến Việt Nam đang trở nên kém thu hút hơn so với tình hình đầu năm 2020 đến tháng 3/2021.
Các nhà máy tại vùng tâm dịch như Tp. Hồ Chí Minh, Bình Dương, Đồng Nai… phải thực hiện chiến lược “3 tại chỗ” bao gồm sản xuất – cách ly – ăn nghỉ tại chỗ làm cho chi phí quản lý doanh nghiệp tăng lên.
Do dịch COVID-19 diễn biến căng thẳng và phức tạp, một phần đơn hàng của EU đã bắt đầu tạm chuyển hướng khỏi Việt Nam. Nếu tình hình kéo dài sẽ khiến thi phần của Việt Nam giảm trong dài hạn, VCBS nhận định.
Tuy nhiên VCBS cho biết, từ giữa tháng 9/2021, Chính phủ thực hiện nhiều biện pháp giúp ổn định tình hình xã hội, thích nghi với dịch bệnh và hỗ trợ các ngành sản xuất phục hồi.
2. Triển vọng tươi sáng cho doanh nghiệp dệt may Việt Nam thời hậu COVID-19
VCBS cho rằng, giai đoạn 2021-2023 sẽ quyết định cho sự phục hồi, đổi mới năng lực cạnh tranh, vươn tới vị thế bền vững hoặc bị loại dần khỏi cuộc chơi.
Theo dự báo của tổ chức McKinsey (công ty hàng đầu thế giới trong lĩnh vực tư vấn quản lý và chiến lược kinh doanh), 2021-2023 là giai đoạn phục hồi hậu COVID-19, với nhiều sự sắp xếp lại chuỗi cung ứng và phương thức vận hành.
Tình dịch bệnh COVID-19 trên thế giới vẫn diễn biến phức tạp, thậm chí tác động tiêu cực của đại dịch còn có thể kéo dài trong 1-2 năm tới. Do đó năm 2021, xuất khẩu dệt may tiếp tục gặp nhiều khó khăn.
Tuy nhiên, ngành dệt may đang đứng trước cơ hội phát triển rất lớn từ các Hiệp định thương mại tự do đã được ký kết, đặc biệt là tiềm năng mở rộng xuất khẩu đến các thị trường lớn trên thế giới.
Hiệp định Hiệp định thương mại tự do Việt Nam – EU (EVFTA), Hiệp định Đối tác Kinh tế Toàn diện Khu vực (RCEP) hỗ trợ tích cực cho hoạt động xuất khẩu dệt may Việt Nam.
Thị phần dệt may của Việt Nam tại Mỹ, EU vẫn mở rộng. Xu hướng dịch chuyển nguồn cung ứng dệt may khiến Việt Nam là một trong những điểm đến của các nhà nhập khẩu, hãng bán lẻ.
Bên cạnh đó, COVID-19 cũng làm thay đổi một số xu hướng, đó là thúc đẩy nhu cầu về các sản phẩm thể thao. Đồng thời, cũng thúc đẩy số hóa trong toàn ngành với gần 40% tổng doanh số bán hàng hiện đang được tạo ra từ các kênh kỹ thuật số. Niềm tin tiêu dùng ngày càng tăng sẽ mang lại cơ hội cho ngành dệt may.
Việc triển khai vaccine tại các thị trường xuất khẩu chủ lực như Mỹ và EU ngày càng cao khiến chỉ số tiêu dùng tăng. Theo số liệu cập nhật ngày 13/9/2021 tại trang web Ourworldindata.org, tỷ lệ tiêm vaccine tại Mỹ và một số nước EU cao trên 60%. Cụ thể, tại Mỹ là 62%, Tây Ban Nha 79%, Pháp 73%, Đức 66%.
Bên cạnh những triển vọng sáng thời hậu COVID-19, thì phát triển mảng bất động sản là hướng đi mới của nhiều doanh nghiệp dệt may.
Các doanh nghiệp này có thể kể đến như Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Thương mại TNG (mã chứng khoán TNG), Tậpđoàn Dệt may Việt Nam (mã chứng khoán: VGT), Công ty Cổ phần Sản xuất Kinh doanh Xuất nhập khẩu Bình Thạnh (mã chứng khoán: GIL), Công ty cổ phần Damsan (mã chứng khoán: ADS), với các dự án bất động sản khu công nghiệp, bất động sản nhà ở đang được bàn giao hoặc trong giai đoạn xin cấp phép.
Thực tế, do chịu nhiều ảnh hưởng từ dịch bệnh nên kết quả kinh doanh của các doanh nghiệp dệt may có sự phân hóa mạnh. Trong khi một số doanh nghiệp vẫn báo lãi tăng thì ở chiều ngược lại có công ty lần đầu tiên thua lỗ sau nhiều năm hoạt động kinh doanh.
Đơn cử, CTCP Đầu tư và thương mại TNG đã công bố báo cáo tài chính hợp nhất quý 3/2021 với doanh thu thuần đạt xấp xỉ 1.710 tỷ đồng, gần như đi ngang so với cùng kỳ, nhưng lợi nhuận ròng đạt hơn 85 tỷ đồng, tăng 31% so với cùng kỳ năm trước.
Ở chiều hướng tiêu cực, CTCP Dệt may – Đầu tư – Thương mại Thành Công (mã chứng khoán: TCM) đã “ngậm ngùi” báo lỗ sau nhiều năm kinh doanh có lãi.
Phía công ty cho biết, do tình hình dịch bệnh COVID-19 phức tạp trong quý III, doanh nghiệp phải thực hiện giãn cách từ ngày 15/7/2021 nên năng suất lao động không đạt kế hoạch, cộng với chi phí hoạt động theo phương thức 3 tại chỗ cao. Do vậy, doanh nghiệp lỗ ròng gần 3 tỷ đồng trong quý III/2021, trong khi cùng kỳ lãi hơn 85 tỷ đồng. Đây cũng là lần báo lỗ đầu tiên của doanh nghiệp trong vòng 9 năm qua.
Dù vậy, CTCP Dệt may – Đầu tư – Thương mại Thành Công vẫn đặt nhiều kỳ vọng vào sự tăng trưởng tích cực trong tương lai. Hiện công ty đang đẩy mạnh xây dựng nhà máy may Thành Công Vĩnh Long 2 để kịp sản xuất đơn hàng cho năm 2022 mang lại doanh thu và lợi nhuận cho trong thời gian tới. Bên cạnh đó, công ty cũng cho biết đã nhận đơn hàng đến cuối năm 2021 và quý I/2022.
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Don t look at it on the battlefield. They kill champion level units at every turn, but you think the champion level units are weak.Because in adventure teams, thieves are generally responsible for dismantling traps.
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Although the other party s exchange price is much more expensive than the half price of the Holy Temple Church during the Demonic Disaster, the upper limit is higher.The city is surrounded by countless towering trees.
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There are countless dead wood guards, tree spirits, etc.Ahem, little Marquis, do you think we can still go back alive Qin An s whole body was curled up on the snow, his lips and face were blue, and his words were weak, as if he would die at any time.
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But this is a fortress Under the suppression of the rules, his flying ability is fundamentally different from Anros ghost form, and there is no way to fly away.Now that professionals are involved, they can naturally get more benefits.
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When he got closer, Po Jun, who was killing monsters, noticed him first and hurriedly reminded others not to accidentally hurt him.I have reached an agreement with the people from the Ministry of Military Affairs.
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To the demons, wealth has no meaning, and capturing living beings for sacrifice is their most important goal.In just one round of long range attacks, the long range firepower directly tore apart 8 big demons.
Once it is intercepted by enemy flying troops, it will easily fail.But what greeted him was a small, white, delicate, but extremely dangerous hand.
The fleet was moving at full speed. During this period, we passed through several large whirlpools on the sea and encountered several pirates.Sir, what is that Feida asked in a low voice. Because the area on the right side of the city is surrounded by a wall of bones dozens of meters high.
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Soon, Windtalker knew why Yule asked him not to regret it later.No someone replied subconsciously. No one understands who would dare to come to nature to cause trouble.
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